Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 8.069533 9.089624 10.302871 11.887625 13.961586 16.679127 20.699336
2024-12-22 6.797156 8.015220 9.599287 11.917598 15.451771 21.157232 32.754080
2024-12-29 6.239356 7.678753 9.720895 13.096604 19.295690 32.941990 88.287102
2025-01-05 5.702917 7.262592 9.641719 14.036722 23.859748 57.186927 NaN
2025-01-12 5.066391 6.588750 9.019975 13.864209 26.477238 95.270418 NaN
2025-01-19 4.506091 5.944622 8.316628 13.312535 28.043192 171.703697 NaN
2025-01-26 4.356876 5.922177 8.686451 15.301391 42.723304 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 4.381525 6.194250 9.711914 19.981541 116.578167 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 4.230477 6.136452 10.081707 23.546214 642.270254 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 4.036900 5.968756 10.171162 26.576203 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.826237 5.736172 10.046973 28.826661 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 3.577916 5.396105 9.566840 28.692957 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 3.415911 5.245542 9.656719 33.679808 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 3.118462 4.780212 8.766633 30.081374 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.962578 4.593046 8.631527 33.031030 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.804033 4.380796 8.373307 34.809552 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.607602 4.067067 7.744702 31.596813 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.422653 3.763385 7.102957 27.744335 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.368873 3.736023 7.294188 33.972260 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.374736 3.840300 7.953010 54.932826 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.321322 3.803774 8.138606 75.511114 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.252156 3.722109 8.139086 96.760271 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.174944 3.612921 8.005808 114.030137 NaN NaN NaN